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Forge Guide

Drop odds

A 1-in-N chance over some attempts. Type the N from any ore, drop or rune page.

Chance of at least one in 100 attempts

3.28%

Attempts needed for a target chance
TargetAttempts needed
50.0%2,082
90.0%6,914
99.0%13,828

P(at least one) = 1 − (1 − 1/N)a; attempts for a target t = ⌈ln(1 − t) ÷ ln(1 − 1/N)⌉. Plain probability, no game assumptions.